Introducing Mixed Migration Foresight
This initiative brings together the Mixed Migration Centre, IBM and the Danish Ministry of Foreign Affairs, to leverage their distinct capacities, relative strengths and sector knowledge to attempt to develop and test a predictive model on migration.
The project has been named Mixed Migration Foresight (MM4Sight) and aims at developing a conceptual, tech-driven, probabilistic methodology utilizing fact-based datasets from multiple sources and combined with first hand observations and expert judgment.
The project is quantifying numerous drivers of migration and by comparing those to the available data on migration, the strength and relevance of different drivers will be revealed, and how changes in drivers can impact people’s aspiration and capability to migrate. To find the connection between drivers of migration and migration itself, we turn to statistics and machine learning. We will build statistical models from past data that evaluate the influence of each driver to discover the strongest connections to migration.